Yesterday’s NFL Divisional Playoff games, as well as today’s NFC game between Philadelphia and New York, have seen victories by the all the visiting teams. A single road victory playoffs isn’t in of itself surprising; having so many in the same season is. However a closer look at the Baltimore Ravens – Tennessee Titans and Philadelphia Eagles – New York Giants match-ups makes those upsets less surprising. The Giants had been sputtering a bit down the stretch, while the Eagles were, with the weird exception of their sleepy 10-3 defeat by the Washington Redskins, hot and lucky to close the 2008 season. Only the margin of victory (12 points, as Bad Eli Manning returned to the Meadowlands after being away all year) is really suprising. The Titans and Ravens are fairly similar squads; ferocious defense, run-heavy offense and good special teams. Games between those kinds of teams tend to be close. That Baltimore does this with a rookie QB and HC is surprising, but having the classically dangerous Raven defense knock Titans RB Chris Johnson out of the game helps a lot.
The outlier for me this weekend (so far) is the Arizona Cardinals 33-13 beat-down of the Carolina Panthers. I knew of only two football pundits, USA Today’s Jim Corbett and ESPN’s Keyshawn Johnson, who picked the Cardinals. I was among the many who considered the Cardinals frauds. They won a pathetic NFC West with a mere 9-7 record. They used a pass-heavy but run-incompetent offense, always a risky balance for the post-season. Their two December losses were ass-whoopings by playoff contenders: 35-14 from the Minnesota Vikings (whom I also considered frauds) and 47-7 from the New England Patriots.
What the Cardinals had going best for them was their lethal passing offense and a defense that was pretty good at generating turnovers, if not so good against the run. This was a bad situation against the Carolina Panthers. The 2008 Panthers were a typical Carolina playoff team: good pair of RBs, solid defense, QB-play a bit above Strangleball levels. Offensively, the strength of the DeAngelo Williams – Jonathan Stewart RB combination compensated for a rather yo-yo-like season from QB Jake Delhomme. Typifying this was Delhomme’s performance against the Cardinals going into the Panthers’ bye week (20-28-248-2TD-0INT, 1 fumble) and his game after the bye versus the anarchic Oakland Raiders (7-27-72-1TD-4INT) which the Panthers won anyway. Furthermore, the Cardinals had some comically bad record playing on the East coast of the USA. All this pointed to a methodical 20-6 beating by the Panthers.
Saturday night, however, the Cardinals defense used its’ ball-hawking (cardinaling?) skills and got Delhomme to put up a game much like the Raider game, (17-34-205-1TD-5INT, 1 fumble) on the way to victory. This combined with the Eagles 23-11 defeat of the defending Super Bowl champions has lead to the unthinkable (for anyone not a blind Cards homer or bizarre contrarian) NFC Championship game in Glendale, Arizona. I’m picking the Eagles; I’ve got my glass of NFC Playoff Haterade out for the Cardinals and haven’t been convinced to pour it down the drain.
Over in the AFC we could have a similar scenario should the San Diego Chargers (and more unacceptable, Norv Turner) beat the Pittsburgh Steelers and host the AFC Championship game against the Ravens. The Chargers also won their crappy conference with a 9-7 record. They also slid down the stretch, but did so in November. They went 4-0 in December, strangely eeking out a 22-21 over the Arena League-quality Kansas City Chiefs but otherwise pounding their opponents. They took advantage of a 1-3 December by the Denver Broncos, culminating with the Chargers crushing the Broncos 52-21 at the end of the season for the AFC West title. Rather unlike the Cardinals, they have a balanced offense and, on paper, good RBs. However, LaDanian Tomlinson is likely at the end of his superstar years in the NFL and I’m unsold on Darren Sproles as a full-time back. Sure, Sproles was a starter in college, ran the ball a lot and was good. Yet that was college; some of the defenders Sproles faced in the Big-12 are in the NFL, but they’re now working with the best guys over the last ten years from every college in the U.S. and Canada.
Getting back to the point, the Chargers were my AFC Fraud team, mostly due to my Norv Turner hatred, but managed to beat the previously surging Indianapolis Colts on the road last week. Now I’m envisioning a Super Bowl with my two remaining Fraud teams (with the Vikings early and proper dismissal from the playoffs) playing for the Lombardi Trophy. In abstract, it actually could be a good game, but this hypothetical Unaccept-a-Bowl will likely pass the previous Tampa Super Bowl, joyless Super Bowl XXXV, as the one I mostly ignore. At least watching the horrifyingly awesome 2000 Ravens defense maul the Giants was a bit entertaining, as was the awkward feeling of Ray Lewis winning MVP.
As I post this, it is halftime and the Steelers are up 14-10 over the Chargers. Go Mike Tomlin and the gang!